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Home > Activities > Committees >Longevity and Health > Draft Programme

Increasing Longevity: Causes, Consequences and Prospects

Organised by the IUSSP Committee on Longevity and Health
Rockefeller University, New York, USA, 20-22 October 2003

Draft Programme

Opening (Chair: Jean-Marie Robine)
Robert Butler, Joseph Chamie, Joel Cohen, Jacques Vallin, and the Organising Committee

1. Recent trends of old-age mortality decline (A)

Continuing Improvements in Survival at Older Ages
James Vaupel

An unprecedented increase in the number of centenarians
Jean-Marie Robine, Graziella Caselli, Yasuhiko Saito, Carol Jagger, F. Paccaud, F van Poppel, CNJ Ruisdael, and James Vaupel

2. Recent trends of old-age mortality decline (B): with focus on East Asia

Recent Mortality Trends and Prospects: Hong Kong and Taiwan
Edward Jow Ching Tu and Jian-Ping Wang

Determinants of old-age mortality in Taiwan
Zachary Zimmer, Linda Martin, and Hui-Sheng Lin

3. Well-being of the oldest old in the context of old-age mortality decline (A)

Frailty in older persons
Linda Fried and Luigi Ferrucci

A new method for correcting the underestimation of disabled life expectancy inherent in conventional methods: application to the oldest old in China
Zeng Yi, Gu Danan and Kenneth Land

4. Theoretical and methodological issues in longevity increase

Estimating mean lifetime
J Bongaarts and Griffith Feeney

Biological evidence for limits to the duration of life
Jay Olshansky

Lengthening of life: do current divergences contradict or support a general principle of convergence?
Jacques Vallin and France Meslé

5. Causes and differentials of old-age mortality decline (A)

Mortality decline at ages 65-84
James Riley

Becoming oldest old: evidence from historical US data
Dora Costa and Joanna Lahey

Changing patterns of mortality from major chronic diseases
Russell Luepker

6. Causes and differentials of old-age mortality decline (B)

Social Differentials in Mortality and Health at the Older Ages
Eileen Crimmins

Modeling Regenerative Processes in Aging Human Populations
Kenneth G. Manton, Igor Akushevich, Alexander Kulminski, and Kenneth C. Land

7. Future prospects of old-age mortality decline (A)

Changes in the variance of age at death: analysis and implications for forecasts and models
Shripad Tuljapurkar

The persistent near-linear increase of life expectancy at birth in industrialized countries: explanation and prospects for the future
John Wilmoth

8. Future prospects of old-age mortality decline (B)

Prospects for increasing longevity as assessed by the United Nations: What new methodology can tell us?
Hania Zlotnik and Thomas Buettner

The mortality plateau: predicting the age-distribution of the oldest-old
Lloyd Demetrius

9. Recent trends of old-age health improvement

An overview of late-life health and disability trends in the U.S
Vicki Freedman

10. Well-being of the oldest old in the context of old-age mortality decline (B)

Variation in cohort size and lower mortality in the elderly: Implications for pay-as-you-go healthcare systems
Jacques Légaré, Robert Bourbeau, Bertrand Desjardins and Chad Deblois

11. Well-being of the oldest old in the context of old-age mortality decline (C)

The voices of the oldest old - how can they be heard? - Evidence from a longitudinal study
Gary Andrews and Sandra Davis

The adaptation of society and Baby Boomers to aging: two interacting processes
Madeleine Rochon

12. Well-being of the oldest old in the context of old-age mortality decline (D)

What impacts does longer life have on family, and informal care giving by children in particular?
Jenny De Jong Gierveld and Pearl Dykstra

What impacts does demographic transition have on family support for the elderly in China?
Guo Zhigang

13. Well-being of the oldest old in the context of old-age mortality decline (E)

Growing older in world cities: Models for the future from New York, London, Paris and Tokyo
Victor G. Rodwin and Michael Gusmano

Social goals and visions. What can we expect for the oldest old in the future in terms of well being and quality of life?
Robert Butler

Closing (Chair: Jean-Marie Robine)