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Home > Activities > Committees >Longevity and Health > Programme

International Seminar on Demographic Window and Healthy Aging: Socioeconomic Challenges and Opportunities

Organized by the IUSSP Committee on Longevity and Health and the Asian MetaCentre
in collaboration with Peking University, and the Center for Healthy Aging and Family Studies
Beijing, 10-11 May 2004

Provisional Programme (6/4/4)

Sunday May 9th

18:00 - Dinner in the Shaoyuan Hotel (see arrival information for more details)

Monday May 10th

8:50-10:50 Session 1: Opening: Demographic Window and Policy in an Aging World
Chair: Zeng Yi

Jean-Marie Robine, Chair of IUSSP Committee, France.
Opening of the Conference and Introduction on Demographic transition and dependency ratios: challenges and opportunities.

Jacques Vallin, IUSSP President, France.
The accelerated ageing process and the demographic window.

Jiang Zhenghua, Vice Chair of China's Congress.

The Socioeconomic View on the Ageing of Population in China.

Paul Demeny, Population Council, USA
Developing economic support systems for the old age population in Asia: Learning from the mistakes of Western welfare states.

Patrick Hermange, Director in charge of social security program, France.
Development of social policies for elderly: the European experience.

Chinese Minister or Vice Minister
China's strategies to face the challenges and opportunities of rapid aging.

10:50-11:10 Coffee/Tea break

11:10-12:40 Session 2: Demographic Bonus and Old Age Support Systems
Chair: Shripad Tuljapurkar

Naohiro Ogawa, Japan.
The demographic bonus in the post-war Japanese development.

Yung-Ping Chen, USA.
Changes in Population Structure, Life Expectancy, and Family Pattern: Policy Implications for Retirement Security.

Andrew Mason and Ronald D. Lee, USA
Reform and Support Systems for the Elderly in Developing Countries: Can We Afford to Wait?

Justin YiFu Lin, China
Aging, Economic Development, and Population Policy

12:40 - 2:00: Lunch

2:00 - 3:30 Session 3 Retirement and Economic Dependency
Chair: Angelique Chan

Shripad Tuljapurkar, USA.
Demographic and economic dependency ratios: are they the same?

Ram B. Bhagat and Sayeed Unisa, India.
Aging and Dependency in India: A New Measurement.

Ngee-Choon Chia & Albert Ka-Cheng Tsui, Singapore
Reverse Mortgage as a Retirement Financial Instrument for "Asset-rich and Cash-poor" Singaporeans.

Stacey Hermijanto & Albert Ka-Cheng Tsui, Singapore
Can Singaporeans Afford to Retire? A Simulation Study of Retirement Saving Adequacy

3:30 - 4:00 Coffee/Tea break

4:00 - 5:30 Session 4 Dynamics of Demographic Windows and Long-Term Care for Elderly
Chair: Edward Tu

Antonio Golini, Italy.
A domestic and an international view from a demographic window.

Siu Lan K Cheung, Hong Kong
Change in Demographic Window in Low Fertility Countries.

Yefan Glavin, USA
Application of large merged datasets in "Evidence-Based" health and Long term care system policy surveillance for the older adults.

Michael S. Chen and Doris Y. Lin, Taiwan.
Care Issues of a Moderately Prosperous and Aging Society: Looking into the "Double Windows" for the Opportunity of Long-Term Care in Taiwan.

6:30: Dinner

Tuesday, May 11

8:50 - 10:20 Session 5: Demographic Dividend and Burdens: Theory and Practice.
Chair: Naohiro Ogawa

Xizhe Peng, China.
One window of opportunity: the demographic dividend.

Mu Guangzong, China.
Discussion and Modification for Population Opportunity Window Theory.

Paul S F Yip, Hong Kong.
Demographic Window and Economic Burden in Hong Kong.

Pamela C. Krochalk, USA.
Implications of Demographic Changes on Need for Health and Human Services Study of Immigrants and Non-Immigrants from China.

10:20-10:40 Coffee/Tea break

10:40-12:30 Session 6: Demographic Window in Selected Asian Countries (I)
Chair: Kua Wongboonsin

Aris Ananta, Singapore.
The Second Demographic Transition and Demographic Dividend in Indonesia: new challenges and their implication on health for the elderly.

Golam Mostafa, Bangladesh.
Health Implications of an Ageing Bangladeshi Population.

Bihm Prasad Soubedi, Nepal.
Demographic Window and Activities of Older People in Nepal.

Tey Nai Peng and Ng Sor Tho, Malaysia.
The Community Approach in Promoting Active Ageing - the Malaysian Experience.

Santosh Jatrana & Angelique Chan, Singapore.
Socio-economic Status and Health among the Elderly in Singapore: A cross-sectional study.

12:30-2:00 Lunch

2:00 - 3: 30 Session 7: Demographic Window in Selected Asian Countries (II)
Chair: Vipan Prachuabmoh

Z. Tsolmonbayar, Mongolia.
Demographic window and its impact in Mongolian economy.

Prem C. Saxena, Lebanon.
Ageing in the Arab countries: trends, regional variations and macroeconomic consequences.

K. Navaneetham, India.
Demographic Change, Human Development and Economic Growth in Kerala, India: Inter-linkages.

Kua Wongboonsin, Philip Guest & Vipan Prachuabmoh, Thailand
Demographic Change and Demographic Dividend in Thailand.

3:30-3:50 Coffee/Tea Break

3:50 - 6:00 Panel Discussions on Demographic Windows of Healthy Aging in China.
Chair: Jacques Vallin

Yu Xuejun, China.
Demographic Windows of Population and Economic Development in China in the Next Couple of Decades.

Judith Banister & Xiao Zhenyu, China.
China's demographic window and healthy ageing.

Yuan Xin, China.
Elderly Support in Single-Child Family in China: Whether the demographic window exists from micro analysis.

Li Jianmin, China.
Social and Economic Factors As functions of the Longevity of Chinese: An Observation on the Differential in Life Experiences of Cohorts.

Xiujian Peng, China.
Population Ageing, Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in China-an Applied General Equilibrium Analysis.

Gui Shixun, China.
Strategy of Long-term Care for the Oldest Old in China in the Future.

Chen Wei, China.
Sex Ratio of the Oldest Old in China: Trends and Patterns.

Qiao Xiaochun, China.
Socioeconomic Challenges and Opportunities of Healthy Aging in China.

Wenjuan Zhang, Shuzhuo Li, China & Merril Silverstein, USA.
The Effects of Intergenerational Support on Mortality of Chinese Rural Elderly.

Zheng Zhenzhen, China.
Marriage/living arrangement and well being of oldest old in contemporary China.

Zeng Yi, China
Old Age Insurance Program in Rural China.

Jean-Marie Robine, France.
Closing Remarks

7:00: Banquet (GALA dinner)