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Scientific Programme - Programme Scientifique Debate and Special Sessions / Débats et Séances SpécialesD1 Did Cairo miss the mark? / Le Caire a-t-il manqué son but? Chair/Président : James Trussell John Hobcraft, Gita Sen, Malcolm Potts and Diana Sawyer D2 Are there limits to the human life span? / Existe-t-il des limites à l'espérance de vie humaine? Chair/Président : Jacques Vallin James Vaupel, James Carey, Jay Olshanski and James Fries SP1 Science Policy session: Population and sustainable development / Séance science et politique: population et développement durable (co-sponsored by UNFPA / Co-sponsorisée par FNUAP) Chair/Président : Wolfgang Lutz Nafis Sadik, Mahendra Shah, Carmen Miro, Virginia Toniatti, Paulina Makinwa D3 Is below replacement fertility here to stay? / La fécondité en dessous du niveau de remplacement va-t-elle durer? Chair/Président : David Coleman Ron Lesthaeghe, Gustavo De Santis, Peter MacDonald and H-P. Kohler D4 Should borders be open? / Les frontières doivent-elles être ouvertes? Chairs/Présidents : Ronald Lee and Alan Simmons Charles Keely, David Coleman, R. Tuiran and Antonio Golini Skill-Building Sessions / Séances Acquisition des Compétences B1 Communicating to Peers / Communiquer avec ses pairs Organiser: Patricia Donovan B2 Communicating with General Audiences / Communiquer avec une audience élargie Organiser: Beth Fredrick B3 Communicating with the Media / Communiquer avec les médias Organiser: Sara Seims
S03 The economics of ageing Chair: Rafael Rofman (Cttee on Age Structure) Discussant: Shripad Tuljapurkar 1. Jere Behrman, Duryea Suzanne, & Miguel Székely Aging and Economic Opportunities: Major World Regions around the Turn of the Century 2. Fabio Bertranou & Grushka Carlos Aging and Social Security in Argentina: institutions, public policies and challenges 3. Navaneetham Kannan Age Structural Transitions and Policy Implications: A Comparative Study of South and Southeast Asia 4. Cassio Maldonado Turra Intergenerational Accounting and Economic Consequences of Aging in Brazil Posters P3.1 Camarano Ana Amélia Brazilian elderly: dependence or intergeneration transference? P3.2 Iwakami Beltrão Kaizô, Francisco Eduardo Barreto de Oliveira, Mônica Guerra Dependency Ratios: Is there a window of opportunity for social security reforms? P3.3 Guzmán Molina José Miguel Social and economic impacts of aging process in four countries of Latin America S04 Determinants of HIV/AIDS Chair: Michel Caraël (Cttee on AIDS) Discussant: Gilles Pison 1. B. Baya & Nicolas Meda Comportement des jeunes de Bobo-Dioulasso (Burkina Faso) et MST/VIH/SIDA : Espoir ou Inquiétude ? 2. Simon Gregson et al, School education and avoidance of HIV infection, Zimbabwe 3. Wanja Carolyne Njue, Sexual behaviour and HIV risk among youth in Kisumu town, Kenya 4. John Cleland, Post-partum abstinence and HIV risk behaviour,Cote d'Ivoire and Ghana Posters P4.1 Laura Bernardi, AIDS knowledge and risk perception in Kenya P4.2 Boerma Ties Trends in age at first sex P4.3 Chowdury A.M.R., AIDS knowledge dissemination in Bangladesh P4.4 Samuel Kilsztajn, Marcelo Bozzini da Camara Generation, Transmission Categories and Gender - AIDS in São Paulo, Brazil P4.5 Koppenhaver Todd, Waiting to die in Zimbabwe P4.6 Rafalimanana Hantamalala, Sexual behaviour in Kenya and Zimbabwe P4.7 Cathy Toroitich-Ruto The Effect of HIV/AIDS on Sexual Behavior of Young People in Kenya P.4.8 V. Jayachandran, L.N. Balaji, C. Chandra Sekhar New evidence on the knowlege and perception about HIV among indian women P4.9 Bode-law Faleyimu, Grooming responsible adolescents in the times of AIDS, in Nigeria P4.10 Ahsan Ullah, HIV and commercial sex, Bangladesh P4.11 Adebola A. Adedimeji; Temple O. Jagha; Eugene Weiss; Joanne E. Mantell; and Lawrence A. Adeokun HIV/AIDS Infection Risk Assessment Among Family Planning Clients in Ibadan, Nigeria P4.12 Noemí Lorca SIDA et prison: Déterminants socio-culturels en vue d'une action de prévention. P4.13 Rwenge Mburano Statut de la femme, Comportements Sexuels et MST/SIDA au Cameroun. Le cas des provinces de l'Ouest et du Centre S05 Consequences of HIV/AIDS Chair: Michael Bracher (Cttee on AIDS) Discussant: Simon Gregson 1. M. Giovanna Merli and Alberto Palloni Impact of HIV/AIDS on living arrangements and intergenerational transfers in countries of Sub-Saharan Africa 2. John Knodel Return Migration in the Context of Parental Assistance in the AIDS Epidemic: The Thai Experience 3. Niranjan Saggurti, G.Rama Rao, and K.C.Mohanty Current and future impact of HIV infection on tuberculosis morbidity (A case of Mumbai city in India) 4. Basia Zaba, Mia Crampin, Jessica Nakiyingi, Mark Urassa, Andy Sloggett The impact of HIV on child mortality: some results from the UNICEF multi-centre study Posters P5.1 A.C.Crampin, S.Floyd, F.Sibande, D.Mulawa, P.Broadbent, L.Bliss, B.Ngwira, J.R.Glynn, P.E.M.Fine Long term follow-up of HIV positive and negative natural history cohorts in rural Malawi P5.2 Benjamin Zanou, Michel Garenne, Albert Nyakawindemera Impact du SIDA sur l'évolution de la mortalité à Abidjan. P5.3 Alex Weinreb, Jere Behrman, Mike Mtika The effects of ill-health on intrafamilial transfers in Malawi P5.4 Lisa R. Norman The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean: A Comparative Analysis P5.5 Victoria Mazzeo Facteurs déterminants du SIDA dans la Ville de Buenos Aires dans la décennie des années 90 P5.6 James Ntozi, Innocent Mulindwa, Fred Ahimbisibwe, Natal Ayiga and Jonathan Odwee Has HIV/AIDS Epidemic Changed Sexual Behaviour and Practices of High Risk Groups in Uganda? S06 The collection of demographic statistics Chair: Alphonse MacDonald Discussant: Alicia Bercovich 1. Werner Haug, Population Censuses on the Internet 2. Alejandro Giusti Will the Censuses of Developing Countries Be Able to Face the Future Requests of Information? The Case of Argentina 3. Beatriz Figueroa Some Considerations About the Relevance and Feasibility of Creating a Population Registry in Mexico 4. Eduardo Arriaga and Dora Celton The Uncertain Future of Demographic and Social Data Collection Posters P6.1 Michael Bubenheim On Cause of Death Registration Systems in France and Germany P6.2 Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos L'enregistrement des décès au Brésil: une évaluation de la qualité des statistiques de mortalité par cause P6.3 Bercovich Alicia The 2000 Censuses: Lessons for the future in Latin America. P6.4 Lys-Yolande Hunlede Méthodologie de mise en œuvre d'un système intégré d'information en matière de population P6.5 James F. Phillips, Bruce B. MacLeod, Fred N. Binka, Brian Pence, and Pierre Ngom The Household Registration System: Technology for the Rapid Development of Demographic Surveillance Systems S07 The politics of demographic statistics Chair: Alexandre Avdeev Discussant: Simon Szreter 1. K.V. Ramachandran The politics of funding, data annd analysis on population - Developing country Experiences 2. Mark Tolts The Failure of Demographic Statistics: A Soviet Response to Population Troubles 3. Patrick Simon Politiques publiques et catégorisation des populations : l'origine ethnique dans les statistiques administratives françaises 4. Carlo Corsini Demographic Statistics and Nationhood: Italy Posters P7.1 W.R. Lee. Federal autonomy and the politics of reform: the standardization of mortality statistics in Germany, c.1850-1914 P7.2 Andrej G.Volkov Population Statistics in the USSR: flights and downfalls P7.3 K. Kateb La statistique démographique coloniale: entre la reproduction du Système métropolitain et les impératifs d'adaptation à la réalité algérienne P7.4 Marie Ladier-Fouladi Statistique démographique et pouvoir politique: le cas de l'Iran P7.5 Bey Benhamadi L'usage de la démographie dans les institutions publiques canadiennes : l'exemple de la Commission de la Fonction Publique du Canada (CFPC) P7.6 Ram Babu Bhagat Politics of Data on Religion in India P7.7 Pierre Martinot-Lagarde The intricacy of demography and politics: the case of population projections P7.8 Zarylbek Kudabaev and Michel Guillot The Role of Population Statistics within the Institutional Building of a Democratic State: The Case of Kyrgyzstan S08 Demographic dynamics and environmental change at the local level Chair: Daniel Hogan Discussant:Donald Sawyer 1. J. Mayone Stycos American Public Opinion on Population Size and Growth 2. Alexia Prskawetz, Jiang Leiwen, Brian C. O'Neil Demographic composition and projections of car use in Austria 3. Ferdinand Ngueyap La confrontation de l'urbain et du rural des conditions d'hygiène et de salubrité du milieu en Afrique 4. Attila Molnár, Anna Páldy, Alàn Pinter Étude comparative de la morbidité de la population adulte des localités avec une differente pollution d'air Posters P8.1 Gebremariam Woldemicael Diarrheal morbidity among young children in Eritrea: environmental and socio-economic determinants P8.2 Emmanuel Ngwé Les défis environnementaux de la croissance urbaine en Afrique P8.3 Ndalahwa F. Madulu Population dynamics and sustainable conservation of protected areas in Tanzania: the case of Swagaswaga Game Reserve in Kondoa District P8.4 Neira Orjuela Fernando Productive transformations and family dynamics in a transitional context from rural to urban. The case of the hothouses in Caltongo-Xochimilco (México D.F.) P8.5 Roberto Luiz do Carmo Is water the limit? Spatial distribution of population and water resources in São Paulo State, Brazil P8.6 Bakwate Antoine Banza Nsungu Environnements à risque sanitaire chez les enfants au Cameroun: analyse évolutive des disparités socio-espatiales de morbidité diarrhéique em ville et en campagne (1991-1998) P8.7 Nashid Kamal, Rumana Rashid The role of environmental factors as determinants RTI/STD symptoms among women in the urban slums of Dhaka City: a multilevel analysis P8.8 Sudesh Nangia Population and Environment Interface in the Great Himalayan National Park P8.9 Malcolm Potts Family planning in ecologically vulnerable areas S09 Population and environment - Global Chair: Brian O'Neill Discussant: Vinod Mishra 1. Van Arsdol, Maurice D. et al. Local population impacts and mitigation of sea level rise. 2. Meyerson, Frederick Human population density, deforestation and protected areas management: A multi-scale analysis of central america, Guatemala, and the Maya Biosphere Reserve 3. Knerr, Beatrice Interactions between desertification and population movements 4. Shi, Anqing Population Growth on Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions Posters P9.1 Goldemberg, Jose The nexus fertility and energy consumption
S11 Family formation (A) Chair: François Heran Discussant: Laurent Toulemon 1. Pau Miret Are household and family constitution patterns in Europe related to the educational and activity structure? 2. Julieta Quilodrán Salgado L'union consensuelle latinoaméricaine a-t-elle changé de nature ? 3. France Prioux La formation des familles en Europe vue à travers les enquêtes FFS 4. Zheng Wu and Randy Hart Marital and nonmarital union disruption in Canada Posters P11.1 Dominique Lopez et Michel Garenne Niveau et facteurs de la fécondité prémaritale en Namibie P11.2 Joshua R. Goldstein Has marriage really declined in industrialized countries? P11.3 Pau Baizán, Francesco C. Billari and Arnstein Aassve Cohabitation, marriage, first birth: inter-relationship of family formation events in Spain P11.5 Mary E. Deeb, Joumana Yeretzian, Young Kim Widowhood and risk of mortality during wartime: Beirut 1984-1994 P11.6 Sayeed Unisa Childlessness and Marital Stability and Instability in India P11.7 María Celina Ananos Lien consensuel en fonction de l'éducation. Son évolution en Argentine entre 1960 et 1991 P11.8 Devendra P. Shrestha Social and economic change and family formation: results of a micro demographic study from Nepal P11.9 John Lievens, Patrick Lusyne Partner selection and divorce in ethnic minorities S12 Changing family networks Chair: Vania Salles Discussant: Maria De La Paz Lopez 1. Elsa López Family formation and reproduction in Buenos Aires, Argentina 2. André Quesnel La construction d'une économie familiale d'archipel : mobilités, réticulation des espaces de reproduction sociale et recomposition des relations inter-générationnelles en milieu rural 3. Mercedes González de la Rocha Networks: A Changing Construction 4. Madhumita Das Changing Family System Among a Matrilineal in India 3. Xavier Thierry La mortalité des mariés : y a-t-il un effet lune de miel ? Posters P12.1 Julieta Quilodrán Conjugal matching: a rarely studied dimension of couple formation P12.2 Cristina Freguja and Linda L. Sabbadini Women as crucial "pivots" of the informal support network: evidence from italian multipurpose surveys P12.3 Adele Menniti and Rossella Palomba Family and social networks in Italy P12.4 Sarah Hillcoat-Nallétamby and A.Dharmalingam Inter-generational solidarity in New Zealand: exchanges of assistance between mid-life individuals and their families P12.5 Lynda Clarke and Helen Prophet Grandparenting in a changing family context P12.6 Andrea Federico Family changes in two cities: Buenos Aires and Sao Paulo P12.7 Leonor Ruiz Single-motherhood in Spain. Some distinctive characteristics P12.8 Julia Pauli Kinship, networks and fertility. The transformation of families in rural Mexico P12.9 Neira Orjuela Fernando Productive transformations and family dynamics in a transitional context from rural to urban . The case of the hothouses in Caltongo-Xochimilco (México D.F.) S13 New living arrangements Chair: Michael Murphy Discussant: Elisabete Doria Bilac 1. Francesco C. Billari, Alessandro Rosina, Rita Ranaldi and Clelia Romano Young adults fuzzily living with their parents: a multilevel analysis of the Italian case. 2. Isabella G. Carneiro, Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Rafael G. Osorio Late stayers : who are they ? - The home leaving process in Brazil and Denmark. 3. Jürgen Dorbritz Living arrangements in Germany - Pluralisation or polarization? The consequences for future fertility trends. 4. Laurent Toulemon Men's Fertility and family size as compared to women's S14 Adult mortality in developing country: Estimates procedures Chair: Juan Chackiel Discussant: Ian Timaeus 1. Kenneth Hill Methods for measuring adult mortality in developing countries: A comparative review. 2. André Medici & Jorge Bravo Indirect estimates of the prevalence and mortality due to Chagas, Malaria and Tuberculosis in Bolivia. 3. Joseph A.L. Kamara & Antonia H. Lansana The use of Model Systems to link child and adult mortality levels: Peru Data. 4. Christopher JL Murray, Michel Guillot, Omar B Ahmad, Alan D Lopez Estimating a complete life table form 5q0 and 45q15: the WHO procedure. Posters P14.1 Abdur Razzaque, Peter Kim Streatfield and Mamunur Rashid. Levels, trends and determinants of adult mortality in Matlab, Bangladesh. P14.2 Ranjana Singh Estimation of Adult Mortality for India and its major States, 1991. P14.3 Irina Peaucelle Human Life and Economy: Focus on the Russian Case P14.4 Anna-Maria Vanneste and Victoria Hosegood Estimating adult HIV/AIDS mortality in highly mobile, rural South African populations. S15 Mortality and ageing Chair: John Wilmoth Discussant: TBI 1. Aline Désesquelles and France Meslé, Apport de la prise en compte des causes multiples de décès dans l'analyse de la mortalité aux âges élevés 2. Neir Antunes Paes, Elderly mortality in Brazil: Trends, differentials, causes and links with socioeconomic indicators 3. Robert R. Bourbeau, La "sélection d'immigrants en bonne santé" explique-t-elle le profile particulier de la mortalité canadienne aux grands âges? 4. Iliana Kohler, Hans-Peter Kohler, and James W. Vaupel, Can frailty models explain mortality differentials by sex and socioeconomic status? Posters P15.1 Heather Booth Ageing and the adult mortality transition: decomposition by sex and cause P15.2 Qihua Tan Chinese longevity from 805 BC to 1872: evidence from historical records P15.4 Patrick Deboosere Can regional patterns of mortality in Belgium be explained by individual socio-economic characteristics? P15.7 Runlong Huang Studies on Elderly mortality in China P15.8 Sui-lan Karen Cheung Does the compression of mortality occur in the Hong Kong population? P15.9 Subrata Lahiri Mortality situation during different stages of infancy, and early childhood period among some selected Indian states: An analysis based on SRS data P15.10 Sutapa Maiti Differential mortality among the twins and singletons in India: An analysis of its various correlates P15.11 Luiz Vieira Junior Regional differences estimating risks of infant mortality in Brazil: comparing social and economic factors P15.12 Komatsu Ryuichi Characteristic changes of life table in Japan from 1891 to 1995 P15.13 Michel Poulain De l'impact du mois de naissance sur la longévité S16 Maternal mortality Chair: Kenneth Hill Discussant: Carla Abouzahr 1. P.N. Mari Bhat Maternal Mortality in India: An Update 2. Giles Pison, E. Guyavarch, B. Kodio & J.F. Etard La Mortalite Maternelle en Milieu Rural au Senegal 3. G. Quinones Fernando R. and D. Reher Mother's Death and Children's Health 4. Sandra Valongueiro-Alves Maternal Mortality inf Brazil: An Estimation to Pernambuco Posters P16.1 Tania Lago and S Serruya The Decline in Cesarian Section Rates in Brazil P16.2 Zoe Matthews, Louise Hulton and Will Stones Applying a framework for the measurement of quality of care in maternity services: A case study of urban India S17 Disability Chair: Graziella Caselli Discussant: David E. Horlacher 1. Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel Functional capacity and self-evaluation of health and life among the oldest-old in China 2. Yasuhiko Saito Changes in the level of disability in Japan: 1992-1998 3. Ben Rickayzen A multistate model of disability for the UK: Implications for future need for long term care for the elderly 4. Jean Marie Robine and Carol Jagger A new approach to the study of disability Posters P17.1 Arvind Zodgekar Implications of New Zealand's Ageing Population for Human Support & Health Funding. P17.2 Maria I.C.A. Parahyba, Cristina N. Tereza, Erika Medici, and Renati P. Veras Disability among the elderly population in Brazil: Determinants and differentials P17.3 Lorne Tepperman Effects of caregiving on mental and physical health and well-being P17.5 Rita Khayat and Abla Sibai War and non-war related disabilities in Lebanon: Socioeconomic and demographic consequences. P17.6 Sheriff S.T. Sonko The demographic and health aspects of disability in The Gambia, 1998 P17.7 Aparajita Chattopadhyay How healthy our elderly are: A study of the pensioners in Bombay (Mumbai), India P17.8 Samir Guha Roy Demographic methods of standardisation needed for valid cross-national comparison of disability-free life expectancy P17.9 Eugeny Soroko Modeling heterogeneity of disability in the population S18 Emerging health threats (A) Chair: Vladimir Shkolnikov (Cttee on Emerging Health Threats) Discussant: Mark Field 1. Caselli Graziella, Mesle France, Vallin Jacques Les entorses au schéma de la transition épidémiologique. 2. McKee Martin & Ellen Nolte Emerging diseases - the need for a new research framework. 3. Shiffman Jeremy, Tanya Beer & Yonghomg Wu How infectious Disease Priorities Spread: Global battles against polio, malaria and tuberculosis 4. Kunstadter Peter Emerging health threats associated with "development": Hmong highlanders in Thailand Posters P18.1 Nolte Ellen, McKee Martin Lessons from the health effects of political transition in Europe: the importance of time P18.2 Krumins, Juris The mortality consequences of the onset of transition: case of Latvia P18.3 Zwang Julien Prévalence et cartographie des personnes infectées par la tuberculose en milieu rural sud-African S19 Fertility transition Chair: Susan Watkins Discussant: Mercedes Concepcion 1. Jean-Pierre Bocquet-Appel, S. Irudaya Rajan and J.N. Bacro Onset of india's fertility transition 2. Andre Caetano Fertility Transition and the Diffusion of Female Sterilization in Northeastern Brazil: The Roles of Medicine and Politics 3. Tom Moultrie Racism and Reproduction: The Institutional Effects of Apartheid on the South African Fertility Decline 4. Eliya Msiyaphazi Zulu and Gloria Chepngeno Policy environment and the rapidity of fertility decline in Sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of Kenya and Malawi Posters P19.2 Andro Armelle Evolution des comportements contraceptifs masculins et féminins en Afrique de l'Ouest: la plate forme d'action du Caire constitue-t-elle une rupture ? P19.3 Brugeilles Carole Transition de la fécondité. L'exemple de la Basse Californie au Mexique. P19.4 Devendra Kothari Poverty and Fertility vis-a-vis Population Programme Management: A Case Study in Rural India P19.5 Aka Kouamé et Banza Ngunsu Social change, population policy and the Akan reproductive model (Ghana and Côte dIvoire) P19.6 Joseph Véronique, Garenne Michel Fertility decline in Sub-Saharan Africa : when did it start ? P19.7 Lopez Dominique, Garenne Michel Niveaux et facteurs de la fécondité prémaritale en Namibie P19.9 Zahia Ouadah-Bédidi La baisse de la fécondité algérienne : un processus de diffusion géographique? P19.10 David Achanfuo Yeboah Barbados fertility transition S20 Family planning Chair: Luis Rosero-Bixby (Cttee on Fertility & Family Planning) Discussant: Steven Sinding 1. Bairagi, Radheshyam. Demographic transition in Bangladesh: What happened here in the 20th Century and what is next? 2. Mehryar, Amir H. et al. Iranian Miracle: How to Raise Contraceptive Prevalence Rate to 75% and Cut TFR by Two-thirds in less than a Decade? 3. Phillips, James et al. Can Family Planning Services Induce Reproductive Change? Evidence From The Navrongo Community Health And Family Planning Project In Northern Ghana 4. Potter, Joseph, et al. Inequities and Policy Dilemmas in the Course of an Unregulated, Spontaneous Fertility Transition: The case of Brazil Posters P20.1 Abbasi, Mohammad Jalal et al.. Revolution, War and Modernization: Population Policy and Fertility Changes in Iran P20.2 Remoaldo, Paula Cristina Almeida The past, present and future of family planning in Portugal P20.3 Attané, Isabelle. China's family planning program against women's interest? P20.4 Brugeilles, Carole Offre et demande de Planification familiale. L'exemple de la politique démographique mexicaine P20.5 Capo-Chichi, Virgile Weak Family Planning Programmes and Fertility decline:the path to massive illegal abortions P20.6 Goldberg, Howard. Irina Troitskaia et al. Contraceptive Use in Post-Soviet Russia: Evidence from Recent Survey Research P20.7 Mosleh-Uddin, Mohamed. Successful Family Planning Situation in the Islamic Republic of Iran S21 Approaches to measuring abortion Chair: TBI Discussant: John Bongaarts 1. Rajib Acharya Estimating parity specific rate of induced abortion: a new approach 2. Radheshyam Bairagi Abortion: An emerging issue to meet son preference and fertility control in Bangladesh 3. Stanley Henshaw Estimating induced abortion incidence from the proportion of repeat abortions 4. Diana Lara Measuring the prevalence of induced abortion in Mexico: comparison of four methodologies Posters P21.1 M. Kapil Ahmed Consequences of induced abortion in rural Bangladesh P21.2 Jennifer Blum, Selma Hajri, Beverly Winikoff, Hela Chélli, Farouk Ben Mansour, Nahid Gueddena Expanding access and simplifying the medical abortion regimen: Results of a study investigating provision of medical abortion to adolescent and young, unmarried women in Tunis, Tunisia P21.3 Josefina Cabigon Sealed envelope technique in measuring abortion prevalence from surveys P21.4 Martha Cambell, Malcolm Potts Is replacement level fertility possible without access to induced abortion? P21.5 Shelley Clark, Usha Krishna, Lisa Kallenbach, Ajita Mandlekar, Veena Raote, Charlotte Ellertson Pain management preferences for first trimester abortion in India P21.6 Shelley Clark, Kelly Blanchard, Loren Galvão, Horace Fletcher, Jennifer Blum, and Beverly Winikoff Misoprostol for abortion indications: Knowledge and uses of misoprostol among providers in Brazil, Jamaica, and the U.S. P21.7 Catherine de Guibert-Lantoine Paradoxes of contraception and abortion in a developed country P21.8 Agnès Guillaume Contraception et avortement: deux modes de regulation de la fecunidite a Abidjan (Côte d'ivoire) P21.9 M.E.Khan, Sandhya Barge, Ranjana Sinha A qualitative study of decision making process in seeking abortion P21.10 M.E.Khan, Sandhya Barge, Nayan Kumar Availability and access to abortion services in India: Myth and realities P21.11 Norma Ojeda, Selina Espinoza Abortion in the international cross-border context of Tijuana/San Diego P21.12 Sara Peracca Abortion and economic change in Thailand P21.13 Anand Tamang, Bhim Suwal, Binod Nepal and Ramesh Adhikari Contraceptive failures, unwanted pregnancies and induced abortions in Nepal P21.14 Turgay Unalan, Ahmet Icduygu Contraceptive use patterns before and after induced abortions P21.15 Sayeed Unisa, R.K.Sinha, C.P. Prakasam A study of sex selective abortion: methodological issues S22 Male reproduction and sexual roles Chair: Axel Mundigo (Cttee on Reproductive Health) Discussant: Brigida Garcia 1. Freguja, Cristina, Romina Fraboni, Alessandro Rosina, Linda Laura Sabbadini Transition to Fatherhood in Italy 2. Hull, Terence H. Putting Men in the Picture: Problems of Male Reproductive Health in Southeast Asia 3. Oliveira, Maria Coleta, Elizabete Dória Bilac & Malvina Muszkat Men and contraception: a study on middle-class Brazilian men 4. Pantelides, Edith Alejandra, Convergence and Divergence: Reproduction-related knowledge, attitudes and behavior among young urban men in four Latin American cities Posters P22.2 Costello, Marilou , Lita Sealza, Zimmbodilion Mosende, Dale Huntington, Rebecka Lundgren, Myrna Seidman; Using Community Agricultural Workers to Enhance Male Involvement in Reproductive Health (Philippines) P22.3 Khan, M. E. Male Involvement in Reproductive Health: Lesson Learned From Some Action Projects In India P22.4 Kulczycki, Andrzej Continuity and Change in Male Reproduction and Sexual Roles in Southern Lebanon: Effects on Age at Marriage and Contraceptive Use in a Shi'a Muslim Community P22.5 Mehryar, Amir H, F. Mostafavi, & Homa Agha; Men and Family Planning in Iran P22.6 Oyosi, Salome Omuyoma, Contraceptive methods attributes, men's attitudes and the male role in fertility regulation P22.7 Paz-Soldán, Valerie, Thomas Bisika, Joseph deGraft-Johnson and Amy Tsui, Sexual Risk Behaviors among Men in Malawi: A District-Level Study of Social, Economic and Demographic Determinants P22.8 Bella C. Patel and M. E. Khan Gender Based Violence During Pregnancies: Myth and Realities S23 Values orientations and reproductive behaviour Chair: Ron Lesthaeghe Discussant: Susan Watkins 1. Oka Obono Matriclan priests and fertility among the duolineal Yakurr of Southeastern Nigeria 2. Eduardo L.G. Rios-Neto Television, value constructs and reproductive behavior in Brazilian "excluded" communities 3. Danielle Gauvreau Les transitions de la fécondité au Canada: l'explication culturelle revisitée 4. Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna The structural characteristics and values of both partners in ex-plaining marital and reproductive behaviour Posters P23.1 Elisabete D. Bilac The family man: conjugality and fatherhood among middle class Brazilian men in the 1990s P23.2 Erika Troncoso Reproductive behavior in ethnic groups in Mexico P23.3 Annette Kohlmann Fertility intentions in a cross-cultural view: the value of children reconsidered. P23.4 Emmanuel Chike Ihejiamaizu Ideational values and couples reproductive behaviour in Abia State, Nigeria S24 Sexual behaviour Chair: Michel Bozon Discussant: Gilles Pison 1. Annabel Desgrées du Loû, Hermann Brou La reprise des relations sexuelles après une naissance: normes, pratiques, négociations à Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire) 2. Eduardo Goldstein & Elza Berquo Une Etude Comparée de l'Activité Sexuelle au Chili et au Bresil 3. Fausta Ongaro First sexual intercourse in Italy: a shift towards an even more personal experience 4. Osmo Kontula Response rate and selection bias in a sex survey in Finland: an empirical test Posters P24.1 Tom Zhuwau, Anne Bakilana Age at first sex and trends among men in Tanzania and Zambia P24.2 R.S. Goyal Perception of Indian men and women on sexuality and sexual health P24.3 Kathleen Ford, Dewa Wirawan, Female sex workers in low price brothels of Bali, Indonesia P24.4 Saritha Nair An exploratory study of clients of female sex workers in a city of Kerala P24.5 Rosa Geldstein & Edith Alejandra Pantalides I don't want to but ... Sexual Initiation Under Coercion in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area P24.6 Elizabeth Jackson, P. Akweongo, J. Philips, S. Appiah-Yeboah Determinants and fertility consequences of post partum abstinence in a rural setting of Northern Ghana P24.7 Alessandra Sampaio Chacham, Monica Bara Mala Sexual practices and the prevention of AIDS/STDs among sex workers in Belo Horizonte, Brazil P24.8 Mburano Rwenge Statut de la femme, comportements sexuels et MST/SIDA au Cameroun. Le cas des provinces de l'Ouest et du Centre S25 The demography of forced migration and displaced persons Chair: Charles Keely (W.G.on Forced Migration) Discussant: Carolyn Makinson 1. Anil Gumber Changes in Demographic and Social Conditions of Displaced Families: The Case of a Major Irrigation Project in India 2. Sara Randall Demographic consequences of being refugees: Malian Kel Tamasheq 3. Holly Reed Vulnerability to Mortality in Settings of Forced Migration 4. Laura Rodríguez Wong, José Teixeira L. Ribeiro and Rosemary Barber-Madden Demographic Dynamic of war refugees and displaced population: Angola (1999/2000) S26 International migration - Micro Chair: Nasra Shah Discussant: Hania Zlotnik 1. Carl Mosk Asian immigrants to the Pacific Northwest: Canadian and American experiences compared 2. María Cristina Cacopardo and Alicia Maguid Argentina: International migrants and gender inequality in the labour market 3. Ismet Koc and Isil Onan The impact of the remittances of international migrants on the standard of living of the left-behind families in Turkey 4. Ahmet Icduygu and Turgay Unalan Tides between Mediterranean shores: Undocumented migration in the south of Europe Posters P26.1 Alejandro Giusti Argentina: Mobility, network of exchange and circulation among migrants from bordering countries: A supplementary study based on the 2001 census P26.3 Adepoju Aderanti Fostering the movement of persons in West Africa: Achievements, pitfalls, and proposals for intraregional migration P26.4 Gustavo Verduzco Changes in the rural environment and Mexican migration to the United States P26.5 Douma Jean Baptiste Immigration et intégration des congolais (Brazzaville) en France P26.6 Afsar Rita Are Migrants Chasing after Perilous Illusion? A Study on Cost-Benefit Analysis of Overseas Migration by the Bangladeshi Labour S27 International migration - Macro Chair: Antonio Golini Discussant: TBI 1. Uma Sahaand Parveen Nangia Profile of Emigrants rom India: A Comparative Study of Kerala and Punjab with Special Reference to Canada. 2. Adela Pellegrino International Migration in Latin America During the Second Half of the 20th Century. 3. Melinda Mills The Socioeconomic Effects of Immigration on Caribbean Microstates 4. Vladmir Iontsev and Irina Ivakhniouk International Migration of Population and Development: Contemporary Trends in Russia Posters P27.1 Alejandro I. Canales and Cristbal Mendoza Migration, Remittances, and Local Development in Western Mexico P27.2 Gaetano Ferrieri Immigration and Unemployment Changes in the European Union P27.3 Runlong Huang Illegal migrants from China. P27.5 Peter Selman The Movement of Children for Intercountry Adoption: A Demographic Perspective P27.6 David M. Heer When Cumulative Causation Conflicts with Saturation of Economic Opprtunity: Recent Changes in the Hispanic Population of the U.S. by State. P27.7 Mehdi Lahlou Subsaharan Migration Networks Through Morocco P27.8 Mahamed Khachani Les Femmes Maghrebines Imigrees das l'Espace Economique des Pays d'Accueil P27.9 Teresa Sales Brazilian International Migration P27.10 Joao Baptista Kukumbo Migrations et Diaspores: Considerations sur la Position de l'aile Politique dans L'Immigration Refugees en France S28 Internal migration: Health, education, and development consequences Chair: Gordon De Jong Discussant: Graeme Hugo 1. Rachel Connely, Kenneth Roberts, Zhenming Xie & Zheng Zhenshen Preliminary Findings from a Study on the Impact of Migration on the Status of Women and Reproductive Health in Rural China 2. Richard White, H. Grosskurth, B. Zaba The impact of internal mobility on HIV spread in rural East Africa 3. Joaquin Recano-Valverde & Marta Roig-Vila Internal migration and inequalities: The influence of migrant origin on educational attainment in Spain 4. Alexandre Diniz Mobility and evolving frontier settlements: The case of central Roraima State, Brazil Posters P28.1 Chaves, Maria de Fatima Guedes and Jose Marcos Pinto de Chunha Migrant women in Brazil P28.2 Hossain, M.A. Rural-urban migration in Bangladesh: A micro-level study P28.3 Iredale Robyn Implications for China of internal minority mobility P28.4 Le Van Thanh Migration et urbanisation au Viet-Nam: changements depuis la politique du "Renouveau" P28.5 Muhidin, Salahudin Salut Analysis of internal migration in Indonesia: An assessment of the effect of education and employment variables P28.6 Praween Kr. Agrawal A study of immigration in Delhi: An analysis using GIS P28.7 Oyekanomi Felicia Fertility and mortality differentials by migration status in Nigeria P28.8 Bhattacha Sanghita Trends in female migration and their employment status in India S29 Spatial demographic analysis Chair: Jean-Pierre Bocquet-Appel Discussant: Daniel Courgeau 1. Francesco Billari and Ricardo Borgoni Spatial profiles in an event history approach: first sexual intercourse in Italy 2. Daniel Delaunay L'inscription dans l'espace des biographies individuelles 3. Bruno Schoumaker Une analyse multiniveaux dynamique de la fécondité maritale au Maroc rural 4. Roy Treadway Identifying multiple nuclei of metropolitan areas using an employment approach Posters P29.1 Abreu Joao F. and Machado Claudio C. Elderly migration flows in Brazil: a spatial analysis P29.2 Aris Ananta, Evi Nurvidya Anwar and Riyana Miranti Migration and job changes: a case study during Indonesian crisis P29.3 Banza Nsungu B. A. Evolution des disparités socio-spatiales de morbidité diarrhéique chez les enfants au Cameroun de 1991 à 1998: application de l'analyse contextuelle P29.5 Delajara Marcelo and Nicolini Esteban Short-run malthusian patterns and regional differentiation in Argentina P29.6 Gomez da Conceicao Maria C. and Torrez Diana Users of heath services in Mexico city: a complex structure of coverage and accessibility P29.7 Gualberto Lizandro N. and Teixeira Joao G. Intra-city segregation by place of residence in the metropolitan area of Belo Horizonte - Brazil P29.8 Kalam E. M. N. and Khan H. T. A. A multilevel modeling of contraceptive prevalence in Bangladesh P29.10 Eva Lelièvre, Catherine Bonvalet and Géraldine Vivier Présentation de l'enquête Biographie et entourages S30 Economics and demography of the families Chair: Alessandro Cigno Discussant: Anne Solaz 1. Rolf Aaberge, Ugo Colombino & John E. Roemer Equality of opportunity vs. equality of outcome in evaluating income redistribution policies: empirical evidence based on Italian data 2. Edith Duclos, Pierre Lefebvre and Philip Merrigan A 'Natural Experiment' on the Economics of Storks: Evidence on the Impact of Differential Family Policy on Fertility Rates in Canada 3. Daniela Del Boca and Rocio Ribero The effect of child support policies on visitations and transfers 4. Anne H. Gauthier, Timothy Smeeding and Frank F. Furstenberg Jr. Parenatal time across nations, time, and across family types Posters P30.2 Suzanne Eckhardt Are married couples' migration decisions Pareto-efficient? P30.3 Anne Solaz Unemployment, household and marital gain: evidence from French couples P30.4 Alessandra De Rose and Anna Tronu Couple dissolution and differences in work experience between the partners S31 Mass media and demographic behaviour Chair: TBI Discussant: Maria Coleta Oliveira 1. Eduardo Rios-Neto, Joseph Potter, Emile McAnany and Paula Miranda-Ribeiro Television and reproductive behavior in Brazil: A reception study 2. Esther Hamburger & Heliosa Buarque de Almeida Telenovela, gender and demography in Brazil 3. Janet Dunn Mass media and individual reproductive behavior 4. Maura Misiti The 6 billion day: An Italian survey on public opinion and mass media Posters P31.1 Nick Parr Mass media promotion of family planning and the use of modern contraception in Ghana P31.2 Andrew S. Karlyn An assessment of a targeted radio campaign to prevent STDs and HIV/AIDS in Mozambique P31.3 Fannie Fonseca-Becker Gender, personnal networks and mass media P31.4 Charles Katende, Neeru Gupta and Ruth Bessinger The impacts of mass media exposure on reproductive health knowledge and behaviors in Uganda S32 The demography of children and adolescents Chair: Maria Helena Henriques Mueller Discussant: Huda Zurayk 2. Jean Paul Toto, Déterminants familiaux de la scolarisation et enfance de la rue en Afrique: les leçons de l'experience ivoirienne 4. Narayan Sastry and Sarah Burgard, The Decline in Diarrheal Disease Among Brazilian Children, 1968 to 1996 Posters P32.1 Rebecca Sear and Ruth Mace, The impact of kin on child mortality and anthropometric status in a rural Gambian population P32.2 Santosh Jatrana, Infant survival at low cost: the effect of colostrum on infant mortality in rural north India P32.3 Tania Lustosa, Nutritional Profile of the Northeastern and Southeastern Population In Brazil P32.4 Jeronimo Oliveira Muniz, An Empirical Approach for Child Labour in Brazil P32.5 Roberto Nascimento Rodrigues, Health factors associated with neonatal mortality in Brazil P32.6 David Lam, Suzanne Dureya and Deborah Levison, Effects of Economic Shocks on Children's Employment and Schooling in Brazil S33 Social policy and demographic behaviour Chair: Anne H. Gauthier Discussant: TBI 1. Gijs Beets Labour market behaviour and wish for children: is a call for policy measures becoming relevant? 2. Amandine Lebugle Les effets des politiques de population sur la formation de la famille en Iran 3. Kari Skrede The other side of the coin ? Changes in family policy, men's family roles, family formation and family dissolution in Norway over recent decades 4. Janusz Balicki Conditions of social policy influence on demographic behaviors. Experiences from Central and Eastern Europe Posters P33.1 Nada Stropnik Reliability of a Policy Acceptance and Attitude Survey for Formulating Family- and Population Policy P33.2 Valentina Bodrova Reproductive orientation of Russian population as a barometer of socio-economic processes during 1991-2000 P33.3 Nina Rusanova Infertility and depopulation P33.4 Alessandro Cigno Transfers to families with children as a principal-agent problem S34 Historical Demography Chair: Tommy Bengtsson Discussant: James Lee (Cttee on Historical Demography) 1. Marc Tremblay, Hélène Vézina and Louis Houde Caractérisation des bassins génétiques regionaux d'une population à effets fondateurs à partir de réconstitutions généalogiques 2. Monica Ghirardi Sexualité extramatrimoniale à Córdoba, en Argentine. 3. James C. Riley Recovery from disease and injury 4. Kaare Baevre Two wrongs do not make a right: sex-differentials in mortality in Norway 1801-1930 Posters P34.1 Sven Erik Mamelund Effects of the Spanish Influenza pandemic on fertility and nuptiality in Norway P34.2 Maria Norberta Amorim The methodology of reconstituting parishes and desafios P34.3 David Robicheau The recovery of Mexico's rural population: a case study from rural Tlaxcala P34.4 Eduardo San Marful Orbis Cuba: population et sucre au XIXe siècle P34.5 Snjezana Mrdjen Régime(s) démographique(s) en Croatie au 19e siècle P34.6 Y.C. Yu When the population of China reached 100 million for the first time P34.7 Jesus Javier Sanchez-Barricarte Marriage patterns in Navarre S35 Demography and politics Chair: Ahmed Bahri Discussant: Reynaldo F. Bajraj 1. Bruce Fetter Enlarging the framework for political demography 2. Youssef Courbage Utilisation politique de l'analyse démographique des minorités 3. Susanna Novick Argentina´s recent population policies and political changes 4. Jacques Véron Esquisse d'une histoire naturelle et politique de la population mondiale (1950-2000) Posters P35.1 Laurent Assogba et Richard Dackam Déclarations de politiques de population en Afrique au sud du Sahara : des prises de position des Politiques en matière de population P35.2 Kuluvayur Ramachandran Role of Population Aspects on Politics in Developing Countries P35.3 Bertil Egero Global disorder: An important agenda for 21st century population studies P35.4 Jill Keesbury Global Politics and Population Policy Formulation in Pakistan: How Different is the Post-Cairo Era? P35.5 Andréa Branco Simão, Claudia Júlia Horta & Simone Wajnman The effects of labor force aging and female participation growth on the income inequality P35.6 Parameswara Krishnan Proximate Determinants of Political Demographic Change in India S36 Statistical demography Chair: Jan Hoëm Discussant: TBI 1. Francesco C. Billari, Johannes Fürnkranz & Alexia Prskawetz, Timing, sequencing, and quantum of life course events: a machine learning approach 2. Marwan Khawaja Bayesian analysis of clustered birth histories using frailty models 3. Amani Siyam Gains in understanding the differentials of child survival using single-and multi-level models: a comparative study of Egypt, Sudan and Yemen 4. Kandala Ngianga-Bkwin, S. Lang, and S. Klasen Semiparametric analysis of childhood undernutrition in developing countries Posters P36.1 Laurent Toulemon Marriage intensity has to be computed from occurrence-exposure rates P36.2 Suzuki Toru Two sex proportional hazard model and marriage market analysis P36.3 Ricardo Neupert A probabilistic fertility model to analyze female life cycle stages in Chile P36.4 Shalini Verma and K. B. Pathak The process of marriage in India P36.5 Charles Iwunor A semi-Markov process model in human reproduction P36.6 Bradley Love Distributional characterization based on post-modal compression S37 Qualitative methods in demography Chair: John Knodel Discussant: Alaka Basu 1. Appiah-Yeboah, Shirley Philomena Nyarko, Elizabeth Jackson, and Patricia Akweongo Understanding Fertility Data using Qualitative Methods 2. Carmichael, Gordon and Andrea Whittaker Asking the Actors: A Radical(?) Approach to Understanding Ongoing Fertility Decline in Australia 3. Coast, Ernestina Ethnographic demography: the use of ethnographic texts by demographers 4. Yoder, P. Stanley Conducting Qualitative Research on Demographic Issues Posters P37.1 Castle, Sarah; Dr. Sidy Traore Qualitative research as a tool for orientating curricula and encouraging community participation in a sexual health peer education programme in Mali P37.2 Schatz, Enid Integrating qualitative and quantitative methodologies in demographic analysis: A study of Women's Status in rural Malawi P37.3 Tichit, Christine Du recueil à l'analyse biographique en démographie : les apports de l'approche qualitative P37.4 Varga, Christine Narrative Research Method: Elucidating the Dynamics of Pregnancy Resolution and Birth-Spacing P37.5 Henry, Rebecca Contraceptive Practice in Quirino Province, Philippines: Experience of Side Effects P37.6 Miranda-Ribeiro, Paula The use of focus group discussions in Demography: a methodological discussion P37.7 Tuoane, Maletela Conducting Focus Group Discussions: Lessons Learnt from Lesotho S38 Labour force Chair: Orlandina de Oliveira Discussant: Irene Casique 1. Marie-Laure Coubés Accés á l'emploi et transitions dans la biographie professionnellte: evolution selon le sexe et la génération au Mexique 2. Aris Ananta Migration and Job Changes: a case study during Indonesian Crisis 3. Ana Maria Oliveira Occupational Gender Segregation and Effects on Wages in Brazil 4. Catalina Wainerman and Marcela Cerrutti Dual-Earner Couples in Buenos Aires. Structural Adjustment and the Female and Male Labour Force. Posters P38.1 Melinda Mills Globalization and Market Capitalism: Regulating the Transition from School to Work P38.3 Patricia Anderson Poverty and Unemployment: The Prospect for Jamaican Youth P38.4 Nadia Zibani Children¨s Activities in Egypt:Gender Differences P38.5 Anita Kon Similarities and Differences in Latin American Countries Labour Structures P38.6 Soumya Alva Gender Differences in Employment Patterns in Vietnam: The role of Institutional Factors P38.7 Suzy Pasleau Women´s Labour in Belgium, 1991-2001 P38.8 Pradeep K. Mishra Child Labour: The Hidden part of Labour Force, An Example of Indian States. P38.9 Serge Feld Evolution de la population active dans l'Union européenne et mouvements internationaux de main-d'oeuvre S39 Population and development Chair: Mark Montgomery Discussant: Ronald D. Lee 1. Gustavo Angeles, David Guilkey, and Thomas Mroz, Direct and indirect effects of health and family planning programs on fertility and mortality in Indonesia 2. Héctor Pérez-Brignoli Human capital and fertility decline, and economic development: The case of Costa Rican since 1950 3. Dikokole Maqutu, A model for computing composite Human Development Index 4. Robyn Iredale and Fei Guo The transforming role of skilled and business returnees: Taiwan, China and Bangladesh Posters P39.1 Thierry Linard de Guertechin Impacts de la globalisation sur la population P39.2 Ita I. Ekanem The fundamentals of African population and development planning P39.3 Nqobile Mavimbela The South African population policy: Progress made in implementation P39.4 Osman Nour, Population policies in some Arab countries P39.5 Richard Levicki Sustainable development in Brazil: Coastal and Amazonian trends P39.6 Paula Remoaldo and Anita Claudia Peixoto, Population and sustainable development: The case of Agra village in the northwest of Portugal P39.7 Yves Montenay La productivite du systeme eco-demographique en periode de vieillissement P39.8 Prasanta Kumar Majumdar, Dillip Kumar Dolui and Hiron Kumar Banerjee Demand for child labour and fertility in agriculture sector: An experience from West Bengal, India P39.10 Eric Adjei Boadu Rapid population growth and development in Ghana S40 Population projections Chair: John Bongaarts Discussant: Ronald D. Lee 1. Joseph Chamie World Population in the Twenty-first Century. 2. Peter Way Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS 3. Randy Bulatao Visible and Invisible Sources of Error in World Population Projections 4. Wolfgang Lutz and Anne Goujon Projections of the World Population by Level of Education Posters P40.1 Sawyer Diana Oya A Procedure for Point and Interval Population Projections for Small Areas P40.2 Saxena Prem Chandra Population prospects for Lebanon: integrating education with Anne Goujon demographic dimensions P40.3 Ana Maria Goldani Future Perspective on Brazilian Families: An Application of the Dynamic Model of Family Profection (LIPRO) to the State of Sao Paulo S41 Spatial mobility Chair: Ronald Skeldon Discussant: Graeme Hugo 1. Shekhar Mukherji International Mobility Field Theory: Extension of The Mobility Field Theory for Linking Internal and International Migration 2. Angel Pascual-de-Sans Sense of place and migratory histories. Idiotopy and idiotope. 3. Jose Marcos Pinto da Cunha & Izilda A. Rodrigues The New Transition Space: new standpoint on São Paulo State's (Brazil) population redistribution process 4. Yanyi K. Djamba, Sidney Goldstein & Alice Goldstein Urban migrants and occupational change in three countries undergoing transitions Posters P41.1 Hogan Daniel Joseph et al. Population Distribution and Environmental Change in Brazil's Center-West Region P41.2 Reina Corona Cuapio & Leopoldo Núñez Fernández Commuting in central region of Mexico
S43 The demography of sub-Saharan Africa Chair: Daniel Sala-Diakanda Discussant: Jack Caldwell 1. Mary I. Mahy & Neeru Gupta Trends and Differentials in Age at First Birth in Sub-Saharan Africa 2. Dominique Tabutin & Bruno Schoumaker Une analyse régionale des transitions de fécondité en Afrique sub-saharienne 3. W. Lut, Scherbov, Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye & G. Reniers Modeling Population-Environment-Development-Agriculture Interactions for Science Policy Communication and Advocacy in Africa: the PEDA model 4. Rob Dorrington, David Schneider Fitting the ASSA AIDS and Demographic Model to 12 Sub-Saharan Countries Posters P43.1 Eric O. Udjo Marital Patterns and Fertility in South Africa: The evidence from the 1996 Population Census P43.2 I. Kalule-Sabiti, A.Y. Amoateng Alternative means of analysing time-variant independent variables measured at a single point in time: The case of age at first birth in the Western Cape province, South Africa P43.3 Brian Pence, Philomena Nyarko, C. Debpuur &James F. Phillips The impact of the Navrongo Community Health and Family Planning Project on Child Mortality, 1993-2000 P43.4 Myriam Mouvagha-Sow Infécondité et mobilité conjugale au Gabon P43.5 Chrysanth L. Kamuzora Africa's emerging population, and last power asset: Ageing inevitable but possibly for into the future P43.6 Yohannes Kinfu Breaking the rules : A case of below-replacement fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa P43.7 Toma J. Makannah Demographic and Socio-economic Implications of Ageing in Sub-Saharan Africa P43.8 Ita I. Ekanem The Fundamentals of African Population and Development Planning: A Review of the Progress mande and the Way Forward P43.9 Momodou Jasseh, Ian Timaeus Age Patterns of Childhood Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Recent Evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys P43.10 Vicky Hosegood, Annea-Maria Vanneste The collection and analysis of demographic data in rural South Africa - challenges raised by the results from a household study in KwaZulu Natal. P43.11 Emmanuel Ngwe Les défis environnementaux de la croissance urbaine en Afrique S44 The demography of Central and Eastern Europe Chair: Anatoli Vishnevski Discussant: France Meslé 1. Evgueni Andreev Did the Economic Crisis Cause the Mortality Fluctuation in Russia in the 1990s? 2. Ward Kingkade and Cheryl Chriss Sawyer Infant Mortality in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union before and after the Breakup 3. Jean-Paul Sardon Fécondité et transition en Europe centrale et orientale 4. Tomas Frejka, Ward Kingkade, Kalev Katus, Gérard Calot & Jean-Paul Sardon Contemporary Cohort Reproductive Patterns in the Baltic Countries Posters P44.1 Florina Serbanescu, Howard Goldberg, Leo Morris CDC-assisted Reproductive Health Surveys in Eastern Europe: Highlights and Policy P44.2 VasileGhetau La fécondité et la mortalité roumaine sous le choc de la transition économique et sociale P44.3 Vladislava Stankuniene A changing of Lithuanian Family through the 20th Century. P44.4 Zhanna Zayonchkovskaya The Postsoviet Space: the Migratory Situation on the Eve of the 21st Century. P44.5 Sofija Adzic Regional Policy and Managing Demographic Flows - The Case of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. P44.6 Valentina Bodrova Reproductive Orientation of Russian Population As a Barometer of Socio-Economic Processes During 1991-2000. P44.8 Irina Peaucelle Human Life and Economy: Focus on the Russian Case P44.9 Dimiter Philipov Demographic Change in Central and Eastern Europe: Culture, Economy, and Social Norms in Transition P44.10 Sergei Pirozhkov and Gaiane Safarova Demographic Perspectives of Russia and Ukraine S45 The demography of Latin-America Chair: Jose-Miguel Gúzman Discussant: Ana Maria Goldani 1. Brígída Garcia & Olga Rojas Recent Transformation in Latin American Families: A Socio-Demographic Perspective 2. Palloni, Alberto The Demography of Latin America in the XXth Century: The influences of early and late globalization 3. Arodys Robles Indigenous populations and mortality decline in Latin America 4. Canales, Alejandro Migration and Labour in the context of globalization: The case of Migration from Mexico to the USA Posters P45.1 Romero Montilla, Dalia Elena Economic Crisis and Infant Mortality since 1980. A study among Latin American countries and among the states Venezuelans. P45.2 Nicholas B. Barkalov, Ph.D. and Sharon W. Kirmeyer, Ph.D Parity-progression ratios of Latin American DHS countries: the role of sterilization P45.3 Robichaux, David Luke Globalization and demographic transition: Bucking national trends in rural Mexico P45.4 Da Costa Leite, Gupta, Neeru and do Nascimiento Rodrigues, Roberto Female Sterilization in Latin America: Cross National Perspectives P45.5 R Carla J. Machado & Kenneth Hill The Information System on live births in Brazil, 1997: on the quality of birth weight and gestational age data S46 Ethical issues in demography Chair: Rosalind Petchesky Discussant: Jose Barzelatto 1. Marge Berer Abortion: Ethical, Legal and Policy Issues 2. Sonia Corrêa and Richard Parker Sexuality and Human Rights: Rethinking Human Security, Sexual Rights and the Notion of Public Good 3. Jenna Hennebry Ethical Implications of the Global Movement of People and Their Labour: The Case of Temporary Workers in Canada 4. Radhika Ramasubban What Should Be the Role, Responsibilities and Rights of Men in Reproductive and Sexual Decision Making? Posters P46.1 Arlette Gautier Quand l malmesure malmene, reflexions ethiques et methodologies a propos de enquets sur les violences conjugales P46.2 Jane Cottingham How Good Are Informed Consent Procedures in Contraceptive Research?
S48 The demography of vulnerable populations Chair: Barney Cohen Discussant: N.P. Das 1. Sajeda Amin and Mary Arends-Kuenning What does it mean to be a vulnerable child in rural Bangladesh? 2. Ester Hanoomanjee Economics of Vulnerable Groups - A Mauritian Case Study 3. Irene Rizzini Vulnerable Children and Youth in Brazil: Reflections on "at-risk" children in low income communities in Rio de Janerio 4. Maria do Carmo Fonseca, José Teixeira Lopes Ribeiro; Rosemary Barber-Madden and Ana Maria Leitão Gender and Family in Angola in a Situation of National War Posters P48.1 Madhumita Das Assessing the Vulnerability of Girl Child In India P48.2 Paulo de Martino Jannuzzi Income and poverty levels of vulnerable groups in the nineties in Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area. P48.3 Norma Meichtry and Alejandra Fantin Demography of Indians and Creoles confronting by land ownership. Teuco-Bermejito area, Chaco, Argentina P48.4 Mario Francisco Giani Monteiro The socio-economic differentials of mortality at young ages (15q5) in the Municipality of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) P48.5 Udoy Sankar Saikia, Dr. Gour Dasvarma, Dr. Ross Steele Ethnicity, Religion and Reproductive Behaviour in Two Indigenous Communities of Northeastern India P48.6 Kalyan Brata Saha and Uma Saha Reproductive Morbidity: A Threat to the Displaced and Ex-Criminal Tribe, Lodha of India P.48.7 N. P. Das The Growth and Development of Scheduled Caste and Scheduled Tribe Population in Gujarat and Future Prospects P48.8 M.M. Gandotra and Gita Patel The Demography of Tribal Population in Western India P48.9 N.P. Das and Urvi Shah Understanding Women's Reproductive Health Needs in Urban Slums in India: A Rapid Assessement S49 Risk factors for HIV and responses Chair: To be identified Discussant: To be identified 1. Judith Glynn HIV risk in relation to marriage in high prevalence areas, Southern Africa 2. Emmanuel Lagarde et al. Mobility and HIV spread in rural areas of West Africa 3. Tais de Freitas Santos, Morvan Moreira and Fatima Juarez Paths to safe sexual practices for young men in low income groups, Brazil 4. Akwara Priscilla 7 Nyovani Madise The implications of young people's perceptions of sexual risks in Kenya S50 The demography of indigenous populations Chair: Raimondo Cagiano de Azevedo Discussant: TBI 1. Torunn Pettersen Compiling a Saami Social Science Database - can it be done without knowing who and how many the Saami are? 2. Udoy Sankar Saikia, Ross Steele & Gour Dasvama Culture, Religion and Reproductive Behaviour in Two Indigenous Communities of Northeastern India 3. Ernestina Coast Colonial preconceptions and contemporary demographic reality: Maasai and Tuareg 4. Norbert Robitaille, Eric Guimond Impact de l'exogamie et de la natalité sur l'accroissement des groupes autochtones du Canada Posters P50.1 Nilza Olivieira Martins Pereira, Tereza Cristina Nascimento Araujo; Valéria Beiriz and Antonio Florido Indigenous population in Brazil P50.2 Marta Maria Azevedo Brazilian demographic censuses and the "Indians": Difficulties in recognizing and counting P50.3 Paul Clerc Le Brésil en couleurs (Aspects démographiques de la grille socio-ethnique dans un pays: les catégories "cor ou raça" (couleur ou race) dans le recensement brésilien. Sur les migrations "coloriques", ou changements de couleur dans le cycle de vie) P50.4 Margaret E. Greene, William H. Crocker Demographic and cultural influences on marriage change among the Canela of Brazil P50.5 Benoît Libali La sédentarisation des pygmées et son impact sur leur développement dans les villages communautaires: cas du district de Sibiti P50.6 Arup Maharatna India's Tribal population: A demographic perspective P50.7 Gladys Masse' The experience about the issue of indigenous populations in 2001 population census of Argentina P50.8 Aravinda Meera The demography of Chenchu tribe in cultural context P50.9 Peteris Zvidrins Depopulation of ethnic Latvians S51 Mathematical demography Chair: To be identified Discussant: Patrick Heuveline 1. Keilman, Nico TFR predictions based on Brownian motion theory 3. Kohler, Hans-Peter and J.A. Ortega Period Parity Progression Measures with Continued Fertility Postponement: A New Look at the Implications of Delayed Childbearing for Cohort Fertility and Long-term Population Growth 4. Goldstein, Joshua and Kenneth Wachter Survey-Based Stochastic Kinship Forecasting Posters P51.1 Ram, Fauzdar, and Saket Kumar Population Momentum and Convergence to Stability in India and its Major states P51.2 Guillot, Michel The Momentum of Mortality Decline P51.3 Mroz, Thomas Direct and Indirect Effects of Health and Family Planning Programs on Fertility and Mortality in Indonesia P51.5 Hirosima, Kiyosi Decomposing Recent FertilityDecline: How Have Cohort Nuptiality and Marital Fertility Affected in Japan? P51.6 Radnoti, Laszlo The Impact of Substance Abuse on Mortality S52 Estimating and Modelling the Impact of HIV/AIDS Chair: To be identified Discussant: Kenneth Hill 1. Patrick Heuveline The Demographic Impact of the HIV Epidemic in High Prevalence Populations in Southern and Eastern Africa 2. Rob Dorrington The demographic impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa by province, race and class 3. Ian Timæus Orphanhood in populations with generalised AIDS epidemics: methods and results 4. Annababette Wils and Warren Sanderson Cocktails of hope: simulating the effects of HIV/AIDS intervention strategies in Botswana, Mozambique and Namibia 2000-2020 S53 Demography and education Chair: David Lam Discussant: TBI 1. Marteleto Leticia Children's Schooling in Brazil: Do Number and Composition of Siblings Matter? 2. Pederzini Carla Household and Education of Mexican Men and Women 3. Razzaque Abdur Family size and children's education in Matlab, Bangladesh 4. Zibani Nadia Children's Activities in Egypt: Gender Differences Posters P53.1 Barbosa Maria The impact of school automatic promotion on student proficiency: a study in Southeast of Brazil P53.2 Lloyd Cynthia B. The effect of public primary school access and quality on school enrollment in rural Pakistan P53.3 Sibanda Amson Racial Differences in Educational Attainment in South Africa P53.4 Wils Annababette Young Entrants Stay in School Longer: An Example from Mozambique P53.5 José Irineu Rangel Rigotti & Philip R. Fletcher Growth of Educational Opportunities in Brazil during the 1980s and 1990s P53.6 Nayak Debendra Tribes and Literacy: A Geographical Perspective on the Pattern of Literacy in Meghalaya, India P53.8 Roig Marta The Influence of Origin on Educational Attainment in Spain P53.9 Cecilia Rabell and Marta Mier y Teran Gender Inequality in Mexican Youths' Schooling and the Role Played by Family Forms P53.10 Jose Marcos Pinto da Cunha and Manuel Orrillo, Estimates of demand for basic education using a schooling flow model P53.11 Nimfa Ogena Work, Schooling, Migration, Marriage and Fertility: Competing Options in Two Philippine Cities P53.12 Linda Hegelsson A time-space analysis on girls' access to education. The case of Northern Mozambique S54 Time and anthropological demography Chair: To be identified Discussant: Caroline Bledsoe 1. Anthony T. Carter Time and Decisions in Family Planning Counseling 2. Jennifer Johnsons-Hanks On the Modernity of Traditional Contraception: Time and the Social Context of Fertility 3. Stephen C. Lubkemann Embedded Time and Dispersed Place: Gendered Differences in Mozambican "Lifespace" 4. Melinda Mills Providing space for time: The multiple impacts of temporality on demographic research S55 Family versus state care for the elderly Chair: Emily Grundy Discussant: Sophie Pennec 1. Mikhail Denissenko Intergeneration transfers of the elderly in Russian cities 2. Victor Gomez Health well-being and filial support among Costa Rican rural elderly 3. Laurent Martel and Jacques Légaré Determinants du recours aux services formels de soins chez les personnes agees du Quebec 4. Paulo Saad Support transfers between elderly parents and adult children in two Brazilian urban settings Posters P55.1 Alice Delerue Alvim de Matos La prise en charge des personnes agees au Portugal: peut -on reduire le role de l'Etat? P55.2 Esther Hanoomanjee Four generation families and implications for the provision of care for the aged P55.3 Fernando Rajulton and Zenaida Ravanera Family and community support for the elderly in Canada P55.4 M Sivamurthy and A.R. Wadakannavar Care and support to the elderly population in India: results of a survey of the aged in rural North Karnataka (India) P.55.5 Elena VVedenskaya Satisfaction with life: one of the parameters defining the social care for the elderly S56 Unintended fertility Chair: Gigi Santow Discussant: Dominique Meekers 1. Abbasi Mohammad, Mehryar A., Delavar B; and Hosseini M; Unintended fertility in the Islamic Republic of Iran: Trends and correlates 2. Ali, Cleland and Shah The condom quandary for family planning programmes in developing countries 3. Ralph Hakkert Levels and determinants of wanted and unwanted fertility in Latin America 4. Abdur Razzaque, Ahmed, Alam and van Ginneken Fertility intention and subsequent abortion in Matlab, Bangladesh Posters P56.1 Jacob Adetunji Family building without a plan: Unintended childbearing in developing countries P56.2 Evi Nurvidya Anwar, Ian Diamond and John McDonald Unintended pregnancy from contraceptive failure: Levels, trends and differentials in Indonesia, 1986-91 and 1989-94 P56.3 Stan Becker Fertility intentions: Are the undecided more like those who want more or want no more children? P56.4 Rafiqul Huda Chaudhury Unmet need for contraception in south Asia P56.5 William Muhwava Measurement and determinants of unwanted fertility in Zimbabwe P56.6 Nawar Laila Unplanned pregnancies in Egypt: How much do we know about causes and consequences? P56.7 Ram Unwanted pregnancies among tribal and Muslim women of Maharashtra, India P56.8 Gurumurthy Rangaiyan and Rajan Adhikari Determinants of unintended childbearing in Nepal: Evidence from the Nepal Family Health Survey 1996 P56.9 Laurent Toulemon Fertility intentions of both partners and unintended fertility S57 Women's labour: Production and reproduction Chair: Hildete Pereira de Melo Discussant: Zeba Sathar 1. Batthyany Karina Productive and reproductive work: cares and family responsibilities as a central element of their reconciliation (Uruguay) 2. Gibson Mhairi & Ruth Mace The Impact of Labor-saving Technology on Fertility in Rural Ethiopia 3. Jatrana Santosh Does maternal employment affect child care arrangements and breastfeeding differently to boys and girls? Evidence from rural north India 4. Rodric Beaujot Models of earning and caring (Canada) Posters P57.1 Mejjati Alami Rajaa Femmes et Marche du travail au Maroc P57.2 Pereira de Melo Hildete Travail Industriel Féminin (Brazil) P57.3 Vanderemeersch Celine Le Travail des femmes ( Senegal) P57.4 Puur Allan Female Economic Activity In Transition: The Case Of Estonia During The 1990s P57.5 Gultiano Soccorro A. Fertility regulation and Wives Employment: Do Husbands See the Link? P57.6 Elizabeth Kayiba Mbelu Activite Economique et genre cas de la femme Congolaise P57.7 Shahnaz Kazi Womens work as a route to empowerment in rural Pakistan S58 Family demography from children's perspectives Chair: Kathleen Kiernan Discussant: TBI 1. Gunnar Andersson Children's experience of family disruption and family formation: evidence from 16 FFS countries. 2. Patrick Heuveline, Jeffrey M.Timberlake and Franck F. Furstenberg An international comparison of children's experience of family structure. 3. Catherine Villeneuve-Gokalp Consequences of family breakdown on the departure of children from the parental home and forming unions. 4. Don Kerr, Roderic Beaujot & Rajulton Fernando Family Relations, Low Income and Child Outcomes: A Comparison of Canadian Children in Intact, Step and Lone Parent Families Posters P58.1 Teresa Abada and Michael Gillepsie Family Structure and Child outcomes: economic resources versus parenting styles P58.2 Fransisco Munoz-Perez The filiation of children born outside wedlock in France P58.3 Nompulelelo Nzimande Family structure as a determinant of infant mortality in South Africa P58.5 Zoë Sheppard Child Fostering in Ghana S59 Population change and changes in the international order Chair: Geoffrey McNicoll Discussant: Joseph Chamie 1. Eduardo J. Viola Population weights and the politics of the Kyoto Protocol 2. Colin Kahl States, Scarcity, and strife in the developing world 3. Josef Schmid Political responses to immigration pressures in the European Union 4. Paul Demeny Proliferation and coalescence of states: the population dimension Posters P59.1 Jill Keesbury, Global politics and population policy formulation in Pakistan P59.2 Jill Keesbury, Human rights and the international population community S60 Adolescent fertility and reproductive health Chair: Fatima Juarez Discussant: Thomas LeGrand 1. Susheela Singh and Akinrinola Bankole Gender Differences in sexual and contraceptive behavior: Adolescents in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean 2. Paul W. Stupp and José Mario Cáceres The Relationship between Age at Completion of Schooling and Age at First Birth in El Salvador 3. Ngalinda, Innocent Socio-economic Factors Associated with Premarital child bearing and Adolescents Age at first Motherhood. 4. Malika Benradi La sante reproductive des meres Celibataires: les cas des meres adolescentes Posters P60.1 Elinor Bisig The adolescents' fertility and health of the reproduction in Argentina P60.2 Chiweni Chimbwete, Nyovani Madise and Ian Diamond Early childbearing in Malawi in the context of high risk of HIV infection P60.3 Ana Luisa Davila, Luisa Alvarez, Hernando Mattei The Demographic and Cultural Context of Adolescent Fertility in Cuba and Puerto Rico P60.4 Claudia Gras Brazilian Adolescents' First Birth: Trends and Socialization Influences P60.5 Emmanuel Chike Ihejiamaizu Adolescent Fertility Behaviour in Nigeria: Trends and Determinants P60.6 Ismet Koç & Turgay Ünalan Adolescent Reproductive Behaviour in Turkey P60.7 Catherine Menkes, Nuñez Leopoldo, Suarez Leticia Santé reproductive des adolescents et des jeunes au Méxique P60.8 Vijayan K. Pillai & Guang-zhen Wang Adolescent Reproductive health in Developing Countries. P60.9 Burcu Savas Determinants of adolescent fertility-related behaviour in Turkey P60.10 Cesar Schwenck and Elisabeth Ferraz Brazilian adolescents: sexual and reproductive health P60.11 Nicole Stone and Roger Ingham Factors affecting young people's contraceptive use at first intercourse P60.12 C A Varga Zulu Girls' Contraceptive Decision-making: Condoms vs. Female Methods P60.13 Meekers Dominique and Klein Megan Understanding Gender Differences in Condom Use Self-Efficacy among Young Adults in Urban Cameroon P60.14 Emmanuel O. Tawiah Adolescent Fertility and Reproductive Health in Four sub-Saharan African Countries P60.15 Cecilia Gayet With whom do young people discuss sexual and reproductive health? S61 Paleodemography Chair: Lourdes Márquez Discussant: TBI 1. Robert D. Hoppa 25 Years after Petersen: Future in paleodemography 2. Alan Goodman Connecting infant-childhood morbidity and later mortality: a view from studies of skeletal populations 3. Jean Pierre Bocquet-Appel Observed Pattern for the growth rate of the Neolithic Demographic transition in Europe from Paleodemographic data 4. Richard Meindl Overcoming Biases in the Paleodemographic record: estimating adult skeletal age, and population growth with an example for the Archaic period of the Eastern Woodlands,USA Posters P61.1 Noël Bonneuil The closest demographic route to a Stable population fitting acumulated distribution of death by age: application to skeletal data P61.2 Patricia Olga Hernández Espinoza A Paleodemographic Essay: Three case studies in Ancient Mesoamerican Population P61.3 Luc Buchet, I. Seguy, M.Belaigues-Rossard L'age au dècés des enfants. Nouvelles approches paleodemographiques. P61.4 Rebeca Storey A comparision of the Skeletal Ages at death of Children and Adults from three Pre-columbian Mesoamerican Population P61.5 I. Séguy, L. Buchet, M. Belaigues-Rossard Nouvelles tables de mortalité (life tabl |